BD’s Nov. 2020 Election Analysis (part 3 of 3)

As promised, this is my final update, and amazingly, the landscape has changed little since I last wrote nearly a month ago. That means I can keep it short and sweet. Only a couple additional questions have popped up.

What if my mail-in ballot doesn’t arrive?
Realistically, it’s too late to get a replacement sent to you in the mail, but there’s a solution: go to one of the now 17 Satellite Election Offices (early voting centers). There, you can get your ballot, fill it out, and return it, all in one place.
It’s almost too late (10/27 deadline) to request a mail-in ballot, but you’ll be able to get a replacement ballot (if already ordered) up through election day.

What was the end result of all that litigation and legislation?
Basically, status quo.
Dropboxes and SEOs are allowed, they won’t be picky about matching signatures on mail-in ballots, and ballots can be counted up to Friday if they’re mailed by Nov. 3 (but everyone should really get them in ASAP).
The Republican-controlled PA legislature had no interest in facilitating mail-in ballots, so they did not pass legislation to allow ballot counting to happen any faster. Estimates are holding steady at finishing the counting the weekend after election day. Therefore, look for results to shift more Democratic as more and more votes are counted.


  1. If you don’t already have a plan, make a plan.
  2. If you were going to vote in person on election day at your local polling place, stick with it.
  3. If you were going to vote with a mail-in ballot, stick with it or use one of the SEOs.
  4. If you were planning to mail your ballot, do it today.
  5. If somehow you look up and it’s after Halloween, bring your mail-in ballot to an SEO or dropbox.
  6. Make sure everyone you know votes.


President and Vice-President of the United States – Joseph R Biden, Kamala D Harris
Attorney General – Josh Shapiro
Auditor General – Nina Ahmad
State Treasurer – Joe Torsella
Representative in Congress – Brendan Boyle, Dwight Evans, or Mary Gay Scanlon
State Senator (odd # districts only) – your local Democrat
Representative in the General Assembly – your local Democrat
Question 1: No
Question 2: No
Question 3: Yes
Question 4: Yes